Will Erdogan´s neo Ottoman Empire be a Chinese colony empire?

Will Erdogan´s neo Ottoman Empire be a Chinese colony empire?

Erdogan-Turkey is going down economically due to its economic policy of low interest rates, neo-Ottoman Empire dreams and wavering strategic balancing foreign policy. The only industry of noteworthy character in Turkey is still the armaments industry, which supplies other hoped-for countries of the neo-Ottoman Empire and other willing payers and which ex-NATO General Naumann once said should be kept in mind: Turkey’s latest export hits are the drones, which are manufactured by Erdogan’s son-in-law and named after him, just as his son organized the oil exports for the Islamic State and arms deliveries to Islamist assassin militias in Syria. Almost a family business: The German weekly ZEIT writes:

“The Turkish combat drone Bayraktar TB2 is comparatively cheap, and more and more countries are buying it. The Ethiopian war shows what consequences their deployment can have. February 3, 2022 8:01 am 282 comments Deadly export hit One to two million dollars. That’s how much a Bayraktar TB2 combat drone currently costs. A bargain on the defense market compared to the cost of US, British or Israeli-made combat drones – especially when you factor in the political gain. Bayraktar TB2 drones come from the extended house of Erdoğan, more specifically from an armaments company where Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s son-in-law, Selçuk Bayraktar, is the chief technologist and his brother Haluk is the CEO. The top product is named after them. Let the world know what’s in them. The TB2 has been an export hit for several years. It was deployed in Syria, Libya and Nagorno-Karabakh – each time to the complete satisfaction of its drivers. In Syria it was the Turkish army, in Libya militias in the fight against the warlord Chalifa Haftar, in Nagorno-Karabakh the government of Azerbaijan in the short war against Armenia. In the meantime, the NATO state Poland has also bought Turkish drones, Latvia has expressed an interest and in the smoldering conflict between Ukraine and Russia, Vladimir Putin is far more annoyed by the new TB2 specimens owned by Kiev than by the 5,000 German protective helmets for Ukrainian soldiers‘ heads. But today we are not going to talk about the pros and cons of armaments aid to Ukraine or the pros and cons of arms deliveries as such. It’s about armed drones and their consequences for a conflict that nobody is paying attention to at the moment: the war in Ethiopia.”

https://www.zeit.de/politik/ausland/2022-02/drohnen-tuerkei-bayraktar-tb2-aethiopien-5vor8/komplettansicht

While delivering drones to Ukraine, Erdogan proposed that he could be the intermediator between Selensky and Putin and organize a peace conference in Istanbul under his leadership, claiming that the Black ea should not become a “Russian Sea”. Putin till now has not reacted to his proposal. Then he started a Turkish version of Chinese New Silkroad and the EU`s Global Gateway in the direction of the Caucasus and Central Asia- a project his ally , the MHP Grey Wolves support as Erdogan´s expansion drive was more to the Arab and African states as new neo-Ottoman Empire—driven by the new green AKP bourgeosie with the role model of Islamist middle class Calvinist Kayseri which wants to expand economically and militarily y and politically in these regions.

Then the antisemitic Islamist leader has the plan to import Israel liquified natural gas and become a transportation hub for Europe, maybe in cooperation with the US lead Mediterean Gas Forum consisting of the USA, Israel, Greece, Cyprus and Egypt and maybe one day Lebanon.Even the iclsuion of Iraq is in discussion.

Erdogan says Turkey, Israel can jointly bring gas to Europe

„We can use Israeli natural gas in our country, and beyond using it, we can also engage in a joint effort on its passage to Europe.“

Turkey and Israel can work together to carry Israeli natural gas to Europe and the two countries will discuss energy cooperation during talks next month, Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan was quoted as saying on Friday.

The two countries expelled their ambassadors in 2018 after a bitter falling-out. Ties have remained tense since with Ankara condemning Israel’s occupation of the West Bank and its policy toward Palestinians, while Israel has called on Turkey to drop support for the militant Palestinian group Hamas which rules Gaza.

However, Turkey has been working to repair its strained ties with regional powers as part of a charm offensive launched in 2020. In an apparent easing after years of animosity, Erdogan said on Thursday that Israeli President Isaac Herzog would visit Turkey in mid-March.

„We can use Israeli natural gas in our country, and beyond using it, we can also engage in a joint effort on its passage to Europe,“ Erdogan told reporters on a return flight from Ukraine.

„Now, God willing, these issues will be on our agenda with Mr. Herzog during their visit to Turkey,“ he was quoted by Turkish TV media as saying. Erdogan had visited Ukraine to discuss the crisis there.

While Erdogan has spoken to Herzog amid tensions before, the Israeli presidency is a largely ceremonial role. In November, he spoke to Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, the first such call in years.

Erdogan on Wednesday met Nachirvan Barzani, the president of Iraq’s semi-autonomous Kurdish region. Asked what was discussed, Erdogan said Ankara wants to sign a natural gas supply deal with Iraq and is holding talks on this.

„We have now taken the Iraq issue on our agenda. We are now thinking about it. There may be a supply on the natural gas side from Iraq to Turkey,“ Erdogan said, adding Barzani had promised to facilitate talks. “

https://www.jpost.com/breaking-news/article-695520

However, his desperate moves try to hide while he doesn´t want to get Western financial aid from the IMF or whateve,Trukey already has no real industry anymore, but is a manifacturer of semimanufactured imports from China which then is exported mainly to the EU.  Erdogan is becoming more and more a semicolony of the Chinese as an article in the Asia Times we recommend shows:

Crisis-hit Turkey survives as an extension of China

Turkey is weathering the storm of a catastrophic currency crisis through tighter trade integration with China

by David P Goldman February 4, 2022

NEW YORK – Despite a catastrophic currency devaluation and 50% annual inflation as of December, Turkish manufacturing is booming and exports have risen by more than half from pre-pandemic levels.

A real economic boom in the midst of financial disaster is puzzling, but there’s a simple explanation: Turkish manufacturing doesn’t have much to do with Turkey. It buys Chinese capital equipment and semi-finished goods and sells the finished products to Europe.

Turkey has found a niche in the fast-growing trade relationship between Europe and China as a producer of steel products, chemicals, household appliances and other goods, concentrating on more labor-intensive and environmentally problematic industries.

Its economic dependence on China has increased significantly. This helps explain why Turkey eschewed American efforts for a diplomatic boycott of the Beijing Winter Olympics to protest against China’s treatment of its Uighur minority, even though the Uighurs speak a Turkish dialect and have strong cultural and religious ties to Turkey.

Mao Zedong might have said that political power grows out of the barrel of a gun, but for Xi Jinping, it is more likely to grow out of the door of a shipping container.

China’s imports from the rest of Asia have nearly tripled during the past five years, prompting 15 Asian countries including Australia to join the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership with China – but not the United States.

That was an important Chinese diplomatic victory. Now, a quantum jump in Sino-Turkish trade is likely to enhance China’s political influence in Western Asia. (…)

Turkey’s surprising resilience is yet another expression of the Sino-forming of the world economy. China’s robust supply chains support not only China’s remarkable trade performance, but move the trade of its Asian neighbors into a tightly-integrated commercial nexus.  

The Turkish lira has fallen by more than 50% against the US dollar since 2018, and the cost of production against default on its foreign-currency debt is more than 5 percentage points, compared to 2 percentage points for Brazil.  

Nonetheless, Turkey has managed to more than double its imports from China in the past two years. Turkey runs a trade deficit, so it has to borrow in order to buy more foreign goods.

Turkey’s official data show little increase in foreign debt, but the triangular trade among China, Turkey and Europe allows ways to keep trade credits off the official balance sheet.

Turkey imports in order to export. Consumption and other goods imports fell during 2021, while imports of intermediate and capital goods rose, supporting a 32% overall rise in exports. (…)

Turkey’s surprising resilience is yet another expression of the Sino-forming of the world economy. China’s robust supply chains support not only China’s remarkable trade performance, but move the trade of its Asian neighbors into a tightly-integrated commercial nexus.  

The Turkish lira has fallen by more than 50% against the US dollar since 2018, and the cost of production against default on its foreign-currency debt is more than 5 percentage points, compared to 2 percentage points for Brazil.  

Nonetheless, Turkey has managed to more than double its imports from China in the past two years. Turkey runs a trade deficit, so it has to borrow in order to buy more foreign goods.

Turkey’s official data show little increase in foreign debt, but the triangular trade among China, Turkey and Europe allows ways to keep trade credits off the official balance sheet.

Turkey imports in order to export. Consumption and other goods imports fell during 2021, while imports of intermediate and capital goods rose, supporting a 32% overall rise in exports.(…)

The Turkish lira has fallen by more than 50% against the US dollar since 2018, and the cost of production against default on its foreign-currency debt is more than 5 percentage points, compared to 2 percentage points for Brazil.  

Nonetheless, Turkey has managed to more than double its imports from China in the past two years. Turkey runs a trade deficit, so it has to borrow in order to buy more foreign goods.

Turkey’s official data show little increase in foreign debt, but the triangular trade among China, Turkey and Europe allows ways to keep trade credits off the official balance sheet.

Turkey imports in order to export. Consumption and other goods imports fell during 2021, while imports of intermediate and capital goods rose, supporting a 32% overall rise in exports.The Turkish Statistical Institute’s breakdown of trade by country shows that the lion’s share of the increase in imports came from Russia – mainly due to higher energy prices – and China.(…)

Tensions between China and Turkey flare up periodically over the Uighur problem. Religious conservatives in Erdogan’s Justice and Freedom Party complain about China’s forced assimilation of Muslims into secular Chinese culture, and the nationalist Gray Wolves movement occasionally breaks the window of a Chinese restaurant in Istanbul.

But President Erdogan wants to stay in power, and China controls the means by which Erdogan can do so, namely Turkish economic growth, jobs and asset prices.

American strategists who hope that Turkey will provide a counterweight to growing Chinese and Russian influence in Western Asia may be spinning their wheels. Without China, Turkey’s economy would be a Venezuelan-style shambles, and that gives China enormous pull in Ankara.

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