Once again „stink“ on the Korean Peninsula, as SPIEGEL reports, after the South Korean President’s meeting with US President Biden:
“US-South Korea military alliance Kim’s sister insults Biden and warns of threat to peace
First China and Russia criticized the closer nuclear cooperation between the USA and South Korea. Now the sister of North Korea’s dictator Kim Jong Un is commenting on the deal in pithy words.
Feminist foreign policy ala North Korea. Kim’s sister looks similar to a North Korean version of Annalena Baerbock and is just as pretty, young and aggressive. The Kim sister already said when Biden took office that the USA should “not make a stink”.That was her first appearance and official statement on Northkorean TV. Trump had actually appeased North Korea so that he could concentrate on China. It seemed clear to him that North Korea would no longer give up its nuclear weapons, that a regime change or reunification was apparently not feasible or even not wanted and if it were very risky. No written contract came out, but a kind of gentlemen’s (well) agreement. Refrain from ICBM and nuclear tests that could reach or challenge the USA, which was the reason for Trump’s war threat at the time and afterwards there was no „fire and fury“. more for the “little fat rocket man on a suicide mission”. This has apparently been adhered to ever since. Or as Madeleine Albright would have said: „We have him in the box“. Priced in was one of those occasional harmless rockets and New Year’s Eve firecrackers that North Korea once sunk in the sea to be noticed. Trump refrained from the usual US-South Korean military maneuvers on North Korea’s border. ICBM and nuclear tests no longer took place. But Biden seems to be acting according to the paradigm Lots of enemies, lots of honor. Sometimes you shouldn’t wake up a sleeping little dragons when the big dragons have already awakened.
After NATO and the USA discussed a new deterrence strategy, while Japan changed its post-war constitution, decided on a new military strategy with so-called „enemy base strike capabilities“ in order to be able to hit China and North Korea, and after the newly elected South Korean President Yoon revivedtand enlarged the Kill Chain and KMPR doctrine to launch pre-emptive strikes against North Korea, and the US and South Korea resumed joint military maneuvers, North Korean dictator Kim Jong Un announced that he wanted a change in his country’s military strategy. North Korea’s nuclear weapons should not be limited to deterrence, he said at a parade in Pyongyang. North Korea’s ruler Kim Jong Un wants to accelerate the expansion of the country’s nuclear forces, wants also to test intercontinental ballistic missiles which can hit the USA and not limit their purpose to deterrence. Speaking at an all-night military parade late Monday evening (local time) in Pyongyang, Kim described the isolated country’s nuclear forces as „a symbol of our national strength and the core of our military power.“ They would have to be strengthened in scope and quality and be ready for action at any time, Kim was quoted as saying by the state media on Tuesday. North Korea will therefore take measures to further develop them with „the greatest possible speed“. The fundamental role of nuclear weapons is war deterrence, but they cannot be limited to that, Kim said. „Should any forces attempt to harm the fundamental interests of our state, our nuclear forces must resolutely carry out their unexpected second task.“ Kim didn’t get any more specific. However, according to observers, Kim indicated a possible expansion of the nuclear military doctrine. A recently published American data sheet could also have served as a model for North Korea’s „nuclear rhetoric“, wrote the North Korea expert Joshua Pollack from the Middlebury Institute for International Studies in Monterey, California on Twitter. This isn’t the first time. Pollack pointed to the report on the review of nuclear weapons policy from March this year, which speaks of the „vital interests of the USA or its allies and partners“ which, under extreme circumstances, would have to be defended with the use of nuclear weapons. North Korea’s new military parade came at a time of greater uncertainty in the region. North Korea has tested missiles, including an ICBM, that can carry a nuclear warhead several times this year. UN resolutions ban North Korea from testing nuclear-capable missiles of any range. Experts suspect that Pyongyang also wants to increase the pressure on the United States with the tests. Its negotiations with North Korea over its nuclear program have been at a standstill for more than three years. Tactical and strategic weapons including North Korea’s largest ICBM, the Hwasongpho-17, were also reportedly on display at the military parade. North Korea claims to have tested this missile on March 24th. The information was questioned by the South Korean military, which assumed a test missile of the older type Hwasong-15. North Korea last tested the Hwasong-15 in November 2017. The reason for the parade in Pyongyang was the 90th anniversary of the founding of the Korean Revolutionary People’s Army (KPRA).
At that time, an aleged ICBM was part of that military parade, which the USA and South Korea believed was not an ICBM. After the start of the US-South Korean maneuvers and the change in the Japanese and South Korean military strategy, the US and its allies made a “stink” again from the point of view of North Korea and the Kim sister and now North Korea their own stink again. But it goes even further: After South Korea’s President Yoon met with Biden and now also wants to include South Korea in the Taiwan question, as well as discussing whether South Korea should become a member of the Quad, China also reacted with the warning of a nuclear crisis in its Global Times headlines:
“US-S.Korea agreements add new danger; ‘extended deterrence’ could trigger ‘another nuclear crisis’ in peninsula”
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol (left) and US President Joe Biden.
After the USA resumed the maneuvers in South Korea that had been suspended under Trump, and the newly elected South Korean President Yoon now pursued a policy of strength towards North Korea and China, which they dismissed as provocations and confrontational policies and Cold War thinking, North Korea began launching new missiles again, missile tests, a new nuclear strategy, which in turn leads to a reaction from the other side: extended detterence and the establishment of a US-South Korean Nuclear Consultative Group and the stationing of US nuclear submarines in South Korea for the first time since the 1980s. The stationing of nuclear weapons is also discussed. Although one wonders whether this is so dramatic, since US nuclear submarines are already cruising off the coasts of Korea and China and can also hit China and North Korea even if they are not in South Korean territorial waters. On the part of China, the US nuclear submarines are interpreted as a threat to China, especially since Yoon has recently linked this to the Taiwan question and Xi’s requested state visit to Seoul cannot take place as long as Yoon does not retract his comments on Taiwan. In addition, the DDP seems to have decided to integrate Taiwan into the Five Eyes intelligence community
Taiwan has ‘real time’ Five Eyes links
It also plans the Hanguang military maneuvers, held since 1984, following China’s threatening maneuvers
War games to tackle the latest PLA threats
HAN KUANG: Non-stop tabletop war games for five days next month would test the ability of personnel to coordinate a response to a hypothetical Chinese invasion
Whereupon Beijing in turn initiates new maneuvers apparently preventively:
“China starts new military maneuvers near Taiwan
Fighter jets, drones, naval ships: China is again conducting a military exercise around Taiwan. Just three weeks ago, the Chinese army simulated several attacks. „
Of course, the ZEIT article once again does not report what happened before.
In any case, South Korea’s new interference in the Taiwan question and the discussion of its membership in the Quad can produce previously unthinkable constellations that could prompt North Korea to also interfere in the Taiwan question, even to solve it as China’s proxy. Such an out-of-the-box scenario had already been sent to us by a Chinese military strategy, which at the time we still considered to be the spinning of a crazy sandbox strategist who as a kind of Chinese Douhet wanted to bring Taiwan back to the manland with Chinese short-range missiles or North Korean medium-range missiles . But the consideration that China could use North Korea as a spearhead against the USA/South Korea and Taiwan might become an option in view of the ever closer ties between the USA/South Korea and Taiwan. Here is what Chen Guodong said at the time:
North Korea has a way to completely get rid of international sanctions
January 22, 2021
Summary: If North Korea replaces the Chinese Rocket Force with intermediate-range ballistic missiles and helps China regain Taiwan , North Korea can immediately get rid of international sanctions. More than 70 years ago, China sent troops to North Korea to save the North Korean regime, leading the United States to send troops to protect Taiwan in retaliation against China . Today, since the top Chinese leaders are in a situation where they do not know how to choose between regaining Taiwan and repairing Sino-US relations, the North Korean comrades helping China regain Taiwan are considered a reward. Even so, China does not owe North Korea anything. However, China had to completely withdraw from the UN sanctions against North Korea in order to show its gratitude. China is a key section in the United Nations sanctions against North Korea . When China withdraws, the sanctions will naturally be lifted. In addition, North Korea may have other big gains.
Full text below in our Global Review article at the time:
Out of the Box: China´s military rise – Reunification with Taiwan by a North Korean proxy war?
Und dazu auch noch:
“Peaceful or military rise of China: How to reunite with Taiwan?
Beyond the CP China´s alleged „peaceful rise of China“, some nationalists in China as Lin Mengfu, Global Times commentators and nationalistic netizens are the school of the „military rise of China“.. These authors and militaries however have been perceived by the CP China and the PLA as out-of-the-box-thinkers, brainstorming pools and their writings may have influenced the ongoing modernization of the Chinese military and its strategy only partly, if at all. While te CP China likes these supproters, on the other side tey dislike their timing. The CP China is not against this thinking, but it thinks that it is an overestimation of China´s own strength. What Lin Mengfu writes could be achieved in 2040 or 2050 when China is economically and the PLA is militarily strong enough, but not earlier and before. The goal remains the same, but the timing is different and therefore its means. But the CP China knows that the „power is coming out of the barrels of the gun“, but on the other side that „the party has to control the guns“. The CP China knows that like Clausewitz „war is policy by other means“, but still policy and the last resort and they know Suntze and his 8 agents while they first focus on diplomacy soft power as the New Silkroad, the New Health Silkroad, the United Front, bribes and persuasion. While the CP China is modernizing and upgrading its military, it still uses the camouflage of the Deng era, however, combined with wolf warrior diplomacy. „Unrestricted Warfare“ seems to be more influential than Lin Mengfu´s China dream which focuses on the military rise of China and overestimates its economic and military potentials, while the CP China still wants to be perceived as the peaceful rise of China. Lin Mengfu and his admirer Chen Guodong will therefore be perceived by the CP China as annoying factors. However, as the CP China is not speaking of the peaceful reunification with Taiwan, but only of reunification, even by force, the school of the military rise of China seems to see an opportunity to give the CP China ideas on how to reunite Taiwan in a short time. In this context comes Chen Guodong´s article. However, while his first plan to terrorize Taiwan by a Douhet´s short missile campaign might have to have some reason, the idea that North Korea would sacrifice itself for the lifting of UN sanctions by China for a reunification war with Taiwan is just stupid and won´t be taken seriously even by the utmost nationalistic thinkers of the “ military rise of China“. And as said, the CP China on the one side is proud to have nationalistic supporters for its cause, but never takes their advice too seriously, but has its own brain and foremost political ways of holistic thinking.
Nordkorea: Neue Atommacht und ökonomische Reformen (August 2012)
Nordkorea will Anerkennung als Atommacht (April 2013)
Die Moonsekte, die USA, Japan und Koreas Wiedervereinigung (August 2022)
The Moon Sect, the United States, Japan and Korea’s Reunification