Short notice: Corona virus-the German perspective
The chief of the Robert-Koch-Institute Wieler claimed that in a few months 60-80% of the German population would be infected by the Coronavirus. Health minister Span said that you can´t prevent the spread of the epidemic disease, but only can slow it down. Well, if these numbers are accurate, this would mean that 70-75 million Germans will get infected. 15% of the infections will have a hard performance of the Corona flu, especially elder people would die at a rate of 2-4-%. 70 million and 2 % to 4% mortality is how much? 1,4 million or 2,8 million dead.
As the government can only slow down the spread of the disease, it tries to prevent the collapse of the economy and health system. Rationing and system relevant parts of the economy are already been discussed. Short labour, tax reductions, credits, subsidies, 26 billion Euros from the excess budget of the Ministry for Labour shall prevent or to dampen a coming economic recession. But it is really the question if these financial buffers are exhausted and the future tax income becomes less, what budget you still have to manage the Corona crisis if it should take longer or if you have to cancel the black zero and debt caps and the Maastricht criteria.