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Autor: Ralf Ostner

Ralf Ostner Born 1964 in Frankfurt am Main, 1984 highschool in Bavaria - courses: physics and art / editor-in chief of the school newspaper. Studied physics (minor subjects: mathematics, chemistry), economic geography (minor subjects: macro and micro economics and sociology) and studied sinology (minor subjects: American studies, English studies). 1991 graduated as a state-certified translator in English and Chinese from the Language and Interpreter Institute / Munich (head of the Chinese department: Professor Zhang, former interpreter of Deng Xiaoping and Franz-Josef Strauß), followed by 5 years in Asia: China ( 1 1/2 years of travel through 12 provinces for a documentary for the Japanese television), India, Southeast Asia (including in Cambodia during the Bundeswehr's first foreign deployment, interviews with foreign Chinese and research about the democracy movement in Thailand during the Bloody May revolt with Dr. Michael Montesano (Fulbright Foundation), research in the Karen guerrilla region in Burma, support of an UN official during the uprisings in Nepal and at UN work in India, interviews with Bill Clinton´s agricultural and trade expert and an ASEAN delegation in Vietnam), Australia (China Center, University of Canberra). Then 5 years as an interpreter, delegation manager and translator in Munich (Siemens, BASF, Burgmann, Liebherr, Bauer, Munich Trade Fair, HP Medica, Filmfestival, Chinese and Taiwanese delegations, etc.). Evening studies at the University of Politics / Munich (focus: international relations). Degree as a political scientist (diploma thesis: German-Chinese relations 1989-2000 with special consideration of the SPD- Green government). Delegation accompaniment for Hu Ping, editor-in-chief of the Chinese dissident newspaper "Beijing Spring" (New York) and most prominent representative of Chinese liberalism during his tour of Germany (University of Munich, University of Mainz, Berlin / FU-Humboldt) while at the same time contacting Liu Liqun (author of the book " Transcending western thinking "/ today: Germany adviser to the Chinese government). Editor-in-chief of the student magazine UNIPOL. Projects at the Goethe Institute. FOCUS TV. Since 2000 translator (Chinese-German), graphic artist, freelance writer and editor-in chief of the "Geopolitical Team"s blog Global Review. Open source analyst. Journalist, guest columns on the website of the Chinese state television CCTV and at China Radio International. Guest contributions to the Axis of Good (Aches des Guten) and the Münchner Merkur (Munich Mercury). Blog posts on the website of the Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC)- think tank of the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Ralf Ostner geboren 1964 in Frankfurt am Main, 1984 Abitur in Bayern--Leitungskurse: Physik und Kunst/ Schülerzeitung. Studium der Physik (Nebenfächer: Mathematik, Chemie), Wirtschaftsgeographie (Nebenfächer: BWL, VWL und Soziologie) und Studium der Sinologie ( Nebenfächer: Amerikanistik, Anglizistik). 1991 Abschluss als staatlich geprüfter Übersetzer in der englischen und chinesischen Sprache am Sprachen- und Dolmetscher-Institut/München (Leiter der Chinesisch-Abteilung: Professor Zhang, ehemaliger Dolmetscher von Deng Xiaoping und Franz-Josef Strauß).Danach 5 Jahre Asienaufenthalt: China ( 1 1/2 Jahre Reise durch 12 Provinzen für einen Dokumentarfilm für das japanische Fernsehen), Indien, Südostasien (u.a. in Kambodscha während des ersten Auslandseinsatzes der Bundeswehr, Interviews mit Auslandschinesen und Recherchen über die Demokratiebewegung in Thailand während der "Blutigen Mai"-Unruhen mit Dr. Michael Montesano (Fulbright Foundation), Recherche im Karen-Guerillagebiet in Burma, Unterstützung einer UNO-Mitarbeiterin während den Aufständen in Nepal und bei UNO-Arbeit in Indien, Interviews mit Bill Clintons Agrarexperten und Handelsbeauftragten und einer ASEAN- Delegation in Vietnam), Australien ( China Centre, University of Canberra) . Danach 5 Jahre als Dolmetscher, Delegationsbegleiter und Übersetzer in München (Siemens, BASF, Burgmann, Liebherr, Bauer, Messe München, HP Medica, Münchner Filmfestival, chinesische und taiwanesische Delegationen ,u.a.). Abendstudium an der Hochschule für Politik /München (Schwerpunkt: Internationale Beziehungen). Abschluss als Diplom-Politologe (Diplomarbeit: Die deutsch-chinesischen Beziehungen 1989-2000 unter besonderer Berücksichtigung der SPD-Grünen-Regierung). Delegationsbegleitung von Hu Ping, Chefredakteur der chinesischen Dissidentenzeitung "Pekinger Frühling" (New York)und prominentester Vertreter des chinesischen Liberalismus bei seiner Deutschlandtour (Uni München, Uni Mainz, Berlin/FU-Humboldt) bei gleichzeitigem Kontakt mit Liu Liqun (Autor des Buches "Westliches Denken transzendieren"/ heute: Deutschlandberater der chinesischen Regierung).Chefredakteur der Studentenzeitschrift UNIPOL . Projekte am Goethe-Institut. FOCUS TV. Seit 2000 Übersetzer (chinesisch-deutsch), Graphiker, freier Schriftsteller und Chefredakteur des Blogs Global Review des "Geopolitical Team". Open Source Analyst. Journalistische Tätigkeit, Gastkolumne auf der Webseite des chinesischen Staatsfernsehns CCTV und bei China Radio International. Gastbeiträge bei der Achse des Guten und dem Münchner Merkur. Blogbeiträge auf der Webseite des Thinktanks Russian International Affairs Council (RIAC) des russischen Aussenministeriums.
Antifascism in the Bundeswehr: How would you have acted or how will you act today in view of the AfD and after the war in Afghanistan?

Antifascism in the Bundeswehr: How would you have acted or how will you act today in view of the AfD and after the war in Afghanistan?

Unlike in the USA, where the bearer of arms ihavea guaranteed basic right and iare understood in the sense of an inalienable human right, the monopoly of force does not only lie with state institutions, but Trumpists, neo-Nazis, Tea party people and militias walk around armed,while German fascists have when they want armed organizations  the only way is through the infiltration of the state monopoly of violence, shooting clubs and the illegal procurement of weapons. On the one hand, the…

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Antifaschismus in der Bundeswehr: Wie hättest du gehandelt oder wie wirst du heute handeln angesichts der AfD und nach dem Afghanistankrieg?

Antifaschismus in der Bundeswehr: Wie hättest du gehandelt oder wie wirst du heute handeln angesichts der AfD und nach dem Afghanistankrieg?

Anders als in den USA, wo das Waffentragen ein verbürgtes Grundrecht ist und im Sinne eines unveräusserlichen Menschenrechts verstanden wird und das Gewaltmonopol nicht nur bei staatlichen Institutionen liegt,Trumpisten, Neonazis, Tea Partyleute und Milizen bewaffnet herumlaufen, haben deutsche Faschisten, wenn sie bewaffnete Organisationen gründen wollen, nur den Weg über die Infiltration des staatlichen Gewaltmonopols , Schützenvereinen und der illegalen Beschaffung von Waffen. Die AfD versucht zum einen in Bundeswehr (KSKaffäre, Bundeswehrler als Parlamentarier) , Geheimdiensten (Roewert/Maasen), Polizei (NSU 2.0, SEKskandal)…

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Letter from an America friend: The Unlikelihood of a War With China and Russia

Letter from an America friend: The Unlikelihood of a War With China and Russia

  The Unlikelihood of a War With China and Russia By: George Friedman Much has been made of China’s seemingly unending potential to invade Taiwan – nearly as much as Russia’s buildup near Ukraine, which many believe is little more than a pretext for a future war. Lurking behind this is the age-old fear that Russia and China will team up to undermine the United States, say, by launching simultaneous attacks. This isn’t inconceivable, but neither is it likely. Let’s…

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Ukraine: Deescalate or Escalate to deescalate?

Ukraine: Deescalate or Escalate to deescalate?

While US Secretary of Defense Austin visits Germany and declares to deploy more US troops in Germany, Biden proposes a meeting with Putin about Ukraine and other topics to deescalate the situation. He demands that Russia is  withdrawing its troops and to negotiate a solution. However, fanatic nationalists on both sides and from third side apparantely want escalate the conflict .On the Russian side some experts even think about the use of tactical nuclear weapons—according to the Russian military doctrine:…

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Russia turns to itself: Russia First or Eurasian Anti-NATO?

Russia turns to itself: Russia First or Eurasian Anti-NATO?

In view of China’s threats to annex Taiwan and Russia’s threats to possibly want to join Eastern Ukraine, there are quite enlightening disputes about direction among the Russian experts. Representative for this is the contribution by Dmimitri Trenin “Russia turns to itself” and Dr. Rahr’s reply “Russia’s role in the world”, which is documented as an article below. Dmitri Trenin heads the Carnegie Moscow Center and is one of Russia’s leading foreign policy experts. He represents more a Russia First…

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Russlands Wende zu sich selbst: Russia First oder Eurasische Anti-NATO?

Russlands Wende zu sich selbst: Russia First oder Eurasische Anti-NATO?

Angesichts Chinas Drohungen Taiwan zu annektieren und Russlands Drohungen, eventuell die Ostukraine anschliessen zu wollen, gibt es im Umfeld der Russlandsexperten recht aufschlussreiche Richtungsstreite. Stellvertretend hierfür ist der Beitrag von Dmimitri Trenin „ Russlands Wende zu sich“ und Dr. Rahrs Entgegnung „Russlands Rolle in der Welt“ zu sehen. die als Artikel unten dokumentiert sind. Dmitri Trenin leitet das Carnegie Moscow Center und gehört zu Russlands führenden Außenpolitik-Experten.Er vertritt mehr ein Russia First und schliesst auf dieser Basis eine mögliche Wiederannäherung…

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Why have been authotarian regime changes more sucessful than Western regime changes?

Why have been authotarian regime changes more sucessful than Western regime changes?

While some Western regime changers hoped that the return of Navalny could incite broad protest movements in Russia, the German newmagazine “Deutsche Welle” published an analysis of the chances for a broad protest movement in Russia and thereby for a regime change option. Therefore we want to repost it in English and think it comes close to the analysis of part-time Putin adviser Dr. Rahr. Even if Putin is losing popularity and his party United Russia has a historic low…

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Interview with Bilahari Kausikan about Myanmar:”The Tatmadaw is a central reality that must be part of any solution”

Interview with Bilahari Kausikan about Myanmar:”The Tatmadaw is a central reality that must be part of any solution”

Global Review had the honor to have an interview with Bilahari Kausikan about Myanmar and Asia. Bilahari Kausikan is currently Chairman of the Middle East Institute, an autonomous institute of the National University of Singapore. He has spent his entire career in the Ministry of Foreign Affairs. During his 37 years in the Ministry, he served in a variety of appointments at home and abroad, including as Ambassador to the Russian Federation, Permanent Representative to the UN in New York,…

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Next U turn in the Ukrainian crisis: Erdogan as new regional power and peace mediator

Next U turn in the Ukrainian crisis: Erdogan as new regional power and peace mediator

After NATO, the OSCE and the EU were mainly silent on the Ukrainian crisis, Merkel called Putin behind the scenes, Erdogan met with EU represantuives and placed EU- Commision president Urusla von der Leyen on a couch and by this inciting a discussion in the EU wheter EU State Council president Barnier should have let von der Leyen a place on the chair, Erdogan iwants now to demonstrate that he is the real regional power in the Ukraine and Black…

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Northern Irexit- the decline of Global Britain?

Northern Irexit- the decline of Global Britain?

After the riots in Northern Ireland, politicians from all parties condemned the riots on Thursday. “Destruction, violence and the threat of violence are completely unacceptable and unjustifiable,” said the province’s government after an emergency meeting. The Northern Irish regional parliament had previously been called back prematurely from the Easter break. It now wants to advise on how to deal with the street battles that Protestant-loyalist gangs in Belfast and Derry, the second largest city in Northern Ireland, have been fighting…

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Wagenknecht and Bidenomics: Paradigm shift from neoliberalism to a New Keynesian Deal?

Wagenknecht and Bidenomics: Paradigm shift from neoliberalism to a New Keynesian Deal?

In her new book“The self-righteous”(Die Selbstgerechten)  Sahra Wagenknecht paints the 1970s as the home of common sense. And chase the left-liberal ghosts of today. Everything was better beforeWith her book, Sahra Wagenknecht seems to be steering forward into the past The US theorist Nancy Fraser has identified a prerequisite for the rise of right-wing populism in the alliance of neoliberalism and left-wing liberals. A “roaring permanent discourse about diversity”, according to Fraser, has suppressed the demands for social equality. The…

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Will Putin annex Eastern Ukraine?

Will Putin annex Eastern Ukraine?

In a Global Review interview Dr. Rahr claimed: “I don’t see any Russian plans to reconquer Ukraine, as the Red Army did 100 years ago.” This might be correct as Putin maybe doesn´t want the whole Ukraine, but “only” annex Eastern Ukraine. As always, both sides accuse each other of breaking the July 2020 ceasefire and the Minsk Agreement of 2015. Russia is gathering troops on the border with Ukraine, which, according to the Kremlin, are not threatening anyone. At…

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The New Taiwan crisis -How would Germany and Russia position themselves in the event of a Sino-American war?

The New Taiwan crisis -How would Germany and Russia position themselves in the event of a Sino-American war?

While Europe is preoccupied with Corona, we just face a new Taiwan crisis. The PLA and the US are deploying more and more military and we have to see if this time s a confrontation can be prevented and it remains rabber-sabbling. However the power balance has shifted and iit is not a question if China will try to invade Taiwan, but when and its more about the timing, the tactics than about the goal. Today´s Global Times: “PLA prepared…

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A brief Global Review of the Global Times: Quad, Taiwan and new weapon systems

A brief Global Review of the Global Times: Quad, Taiwan and new weapon systems

While the USA tries to portray the Quad as a successful project with a bright future, the Global Times claims that it is more symbolic than really a threat to China and also not an Asian NATO or even a “Eight Nation Alliance” like 1900: “US cannot replicate ‘Eight-Nation Alliance’ against China By Lu Xue Published: Apr 07, 2021 A naval exercise between all members of Quad and France is scheduled to conclude on Wednesday. Times of India on Monday…

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Five Hard Truths About Myanmar

Five Hard Truths About Myanmar

Author: Bilahari Kausikan Myanmar (then called Burma) became independent in 1948. In 1962, General Ne Win seized power in a coup. Thereafter, until 2011, Myanmar was under the rule of the Tatmadaw, as the Myanmar military is called.  For much of this half century of military rule, Myanmar isolated itself from the rest of the world. Pursuing the so-called ‘Burmese Way to Socialism’, Myanmar shunned both Cold War blocs, even withdrawing from the Non-Aligned Movement. The world, and in particular…

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Letter to an American friend: The Sinoamerican conflict and the multipolar world

Letter to an American friend: The Sinoamerican conflict and the multipolar world

Dear friend , just my personal guess:China will invade Taiwan within the next 6 years’.Or try to do. It wants to use the coming Winter Olympics in 2022 like Hitler did with the Olympics 1936 to give the world the Image of a multilateralist, peaceful nation which wants to create win-win situations for all mankind.And then the USA will cross a so called red line and China has to”react”. However, it is unlikeley that most Europeans will follow the US…

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Interview with Dr. Treiber about the war in Ethopia:”The war is already international”

Interview with Dr. Treiber about the war in Ethopia:”The war is already international”

Global Review had the pleasure to have an interview with Dr. Magnus Treiber about the situation at the Horn of Africa, Ethopia and Eritrea. Dr. Magnus Treiber is a professor of anthropology at LMU Munich. Following his PhD research on young urban life in Asmara 2001-2005, he has done extensive research with Eritrean refugees and published his professorial thesis on migration from Eritrea (Migration aus Eritrea, Berlin: Reimer 2017). He has taught at Munich, Bayreuth and Addis Ababa universities. Global…

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Easter crisis in Ukraine: NATO drills and Russia military build-up

Easter crisis in Ukraine: NATO drills and Russia military build-up

While the German and most parts of the international public are preoccupied with Corona, Al Jazzerre is broadcasting the Black Lives Matter- George Floyd US trial live and for hours and China is pushing its military around Taiwan and the South China Sea, Russia’s troop movements are worrying NATO . The situation in eastern Ukraine and on the Russian side of the border appears to be worsening. Kiev receives numerous expressions of solidarity. Also from the EU. In view of…

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Interview with Dr. Alexander Rahr: “I don’t see any Russian plans to reconquer Ukraine, as the Red Army did 100 years ago”

Interview with Dr. Alexander Rahr: “I don’t see any Russian plans to reconquer Ukraine, as the Red Army did 100 years ago”

Global Review had again the honor of interviewing Prof. Alexander Rahr, expert on Russian affairs, political scientist, member of the Valdai Club, Putin advisor for Gazprom to the EU. Alexander Rahr is an honorary professor at the Moscow State Institute for International Relations and School of Economics. He studied at the State University of Munich, worked 1980-1994 for the Research Institute for Radio Free Europe, the Federal Institute for Eastern European and International Studies. He was a consultant to the…

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Interview mit Dr. Alexander Rahr: “Russische Pläne, die Ukraine zurückzuerobern, wie es die Rote Armee vor 100 Jahren getan hat, sehe ich nicht”

Interview mit Dr. Alexander Rahr: “Russische Pläne, die Ukraine zurückzuerobern, wie es die Rote Armee vor 100 Jahren getan hat, sehe ich nicht”

Global Review hatte die Ehre, mit Dr. Alexander Rahr, Politiklwissenschaftler , Russlandexperte und Gazpromberater ein Interview über die gegenwärtige Krise um die Ukraine und andere Themen zu führen. Alexander Rahr ist international angesehener Politikwissenschaftler, Politik- und Unternehmensberater, Publizist und  Buchautor.Die wichtigsten Lebensdaten: Geboren am 2. März 1959 in Taipeh/Taiwan, verheiratet, zwei Kinder. Aufgewachsen in Tokio, Eschborn im Taunus, München. Lebt seit 1999 in Berlin. 1980 – 88 Studium an der Ludwig–Maximilian-Universität München (Geschichte, Slawistik, Politik)1977 – 90 Projektmitarbeiter, Bundesinstitut für…

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